The potential impacts of climate change on maize production in Africa andLatin America in 2055

Error message

  • User warning: The following module is missing from the file system: flickapi. In order to fix this, put the module back in its original location. For more information, see the documentation page. in _drupal_trigger_error_with_delayed_logging() (line 1128 of /var/www/main/includes/
  • Strict warning: Declaration of activity_comments_handler_field_comments::init() should be compatible with views_handler::init(&$view, &$options) in require_once() (line 79 of /var/www/main/sites/all/modules/activity/activity_comments/views/

By Peter G. Jonesa and Philip K. Thornton
The impacts of climate change on agriculture may add significantly to the development challenges of ensuring food security and reducing poverty. We show the possible impacts on maize production in Africa and Latin America to 2055, using high-resolution methods to generate characteristic daily weather data for driving a detailed simulation model of the maize crop. Although the results indicate an overall reduction of only 10% in maize production to 2055, equivalent to losses of $2 billion per year, the aggregate results hide enormous variability: areas can be identified where maize yields may change substantially. Climate change urgently needs to be assessed at the level of the household, so that poor and vulnerable people dependent on agriculture can be appropriately targetedin research andd evelopment activities whose object is poverty alleviation.


Copyright © 2012 | All Rights Reserved, African Agricultural Technology Foundation (AATF-Africa)

Powered by Blue Eyes Ltd